量数据.认真参加韩国老年人的休闲活动对健康的

量数据.认真参加韩国老年人的休闲活动对健康的好处作者信

量数cMust leave the Hubei area without authorization. Employees who return to Xi'an within 14 days prior to Xi'an or who have had a history of contact with personnel in Hubei must strictly implement measures such as supervised medical observation in accordance with relevant regulations. Fourth, the district and county governments, the development zone management committee, the relevant departments of the municipal government, and the municipal agencies should pay attention to the implementation and supervision of the notification requirements, minimize the flow of people and concentrate, and help enterprises in a targeted manner Solve problems and ensure a stable and orderly society. (Yang Yutong, Gao Tao, CCTV reporter) Click to enter the topic: Focus on the new coronavirus pneumonia epidemic responsibility Editor: Zhang Shen Original title: Be cautious。

据.Judgment from person to person: conservative or lost? | Quick Commentary of the Beijing News | & nbsp Lian Qingchuan On January 30, a paper by the Chinese Center for Disease Control (CDC) was published in the international authoritative journal "New England Medical Journal". This should be regarded as the glorious achievement of Chinese medical research, but it has caused doubts from the Chinese people. The core is that the paper proposes that in mid-December 2019, the virus has appeared from person to person. Public opinion questioned whether the disease control experts had learned about people from person to person as early as December. In any case, people-to-people signs have long been associated with the spread of the epidemic。

认真参加The measures have only been fully launched, and there is a short time difference. This may be a window period for the accelerated interpersonal transmission of the epidemic. In response to the questioning, the relevant person in charge of the Chinese Center for Disease Control stated in an interview that the December people-to-people mentioned in the thesis were in fact only retrospective inferences. In other words, it was based on the 425 cases reported on January 23 when the paper was submitted. It is also emphasized that there is a process of understanding the disease, and it is always prudent to publish the information. Therefore, it is also conservative to judge that the obvious person-to-person cannot be ruled out and the possibility of limited person-to-person transmission cannot be excluded. From my personal understanding, off。

韩国老The interpretation of retrospective inferences basically works, and is in line with the academic common sense we have learned. From a common sense point of view, no matter it is Chinese disease control or related experts, it is too expensive to catch an entire academic and professional life for an academic paper, and they will not understand it. But even if the experts of the disease control system are conservative in their judgment of the new coronavirus, it is based on academic prudence. I am afraid they will have to learn a lesson from reality: sometimes, conservatism may lead to failure. To put it more seriously, some conservative judgments are radical from another perspective. ▲ From。

年人的From December to January 21 this year, the earliest 425 confirmed cases of pneumonia caused by new coronavirus infection in Wuhan. Experts from China Disease Control stated that out of the 27 cases they initially obtained, 26 had a history of exposure to the South China Seafood Market, and only 1 did not. He did not propose a specific time to get the case, but the Chinese disease control experts arrived in Wuhan on December 31. It can be speculated that the 27 cases should have been obtained before, so they will send the experts to Wuhan. According to the disclosure of the CDC website, one of the responsibilities of the CDC is to carry out infectious diseases, chronic diseases, occupational diseases, endemic diseases, and public health emergencies.。

休闲活动对Monitoring and evaluation of abnormal responses to suspected vaccination and monitoring and evaluation of national health status, carrying out investigations and hazard risk assessments of major public health issues; researching and formulating interventions and national immunization plans for major public health issues and organizing their implementation. So, even if it was not possible to judge whether the new virus had the risk of being passed from person to person, in the case of 26 cases with a history of exposure to the South China Seafood Market, is it possible for China Disease Control to take further actions to make early warnings to prevent changes in situation Bad? In response to a reporter ’s question, the relevant expert said that from the beginning of ‘no obvious human-to-human transmissions were found’ to ‘limited human-to-human transmissions cannot be ruled out。

健康的It ’s possible ... needs a process. (Judgment) is conservative and of course cautious, and can only see what is said. When conducting research on new coronaviruses to the policy level, two possibilities must be considered: if the person-to-person does not exist or is very limited, but it is full, it may trigger social panic and overreaction; It is easy to miss the controllable stage if you verify carefully. From the perspective of hindsight, we can of course say that we were too careful or bold at the time, but some judgments were made beforehand, destined to consider the chain reaction or。

好处The social cost can be understood with caution. But there should be a degree of caution. From the timeline, on January 16th, after the information about medical staff's infection and hospitalization appeared, the disease control department did not seem to be sufficiently alert to this, and at least did not correct the original conclusion. It wasn't until January 20 that Zhong Nanshan, who was not affiliated with China Disease Control, issued a human-to-human warning, and the rhythm of the national anti-epidemic began. However, his duty is to monitor and formulate a disease control center for infectious disease response policies. At this time, he gradually released a series of measures. Such conservatism doesn't seem to be appropriate. We recognize。

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